The 21st Century Force Multiplier: Public–Private Collaboration
James Stavridis and Evelyn N. Farkas
SACEUR and his senior advisor argue that to enhance both global development and security, relationships leveraging private sector expertise and capabilities are critical, but we need a strategy, framework, and process to design and implement them. [excerpt] http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_stavridis_farkas.pdf
How to Deter Terrorism
Matthew Kroenig and Barry Pavel
The coauthors of the first U.S. government-wide strategy for deterring terrorist networks present the first publicly available articulation of that strategy, arguing that deterrence remains a poorly understood and underutilized element of U.S. counterterrorism strategy. [excerpt] http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_kroenig_pavel.pdf
Bombs Away? Being Realistic about Deep Nuclear Reductions
James M. Acton
Skeptics and supporters of deep nuclear reductions tend to underestimate three demanding, complex, interacting practical realities. Key barriers lie outside Washington and will take time, but ultimately, further reductions are almost certain to be gradual and worthwhile. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_acton.pdf
To Keep the Peace with Iran, Threaten to Strike
Michael Singh
The former NSC senior director for Middle Eastern affairs argues that current U.S. strategy toward Iran is incomplete: supplementing sanctions and outreach with a credible military threat could bring the interests of the United States, China, Israel, and other allies into alignment while causing Tehran to reassess its own. [excerpt]
http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_singh.pdf
The Real Problem in U.S.–Israeli Relations
Dov Waxman
The real debate we should be having is not whether Obama is pro-Israel enough or whether Israel is a strategic burden to the United States. The real debate is how much do U.S. and Israeli interests really overlap today? Put simply, they are increasingly diverging. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_waxman.pdf
Egypt’s Troubled Transition: Elections without Democracy
Khaled Elgindy
The most formidable threat to Egyptian democracy comes from the ruling military council itself, which may end up leaving Egypt looking less like Turkey and more like Pakistan, where a military that refuses to truly relinquish power results in a weak and dysfunctional government. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_elgindy.pdf
A Strategy of “Congagement” toward Pakistan
Zalmay Khalilzad
The former U.S. ambassador explains the confusing sources of Pakistani conduct, concluding it is simultaneously an ally and adversary, and argues that alone engagement has failed and containment would, and recommends deftly mixing the two into a strategy of congagement. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_khalilzad.pdf
Reassessing China: Awaiting Xi Jinping
William H. Overholt
The author of The Rise of China reassesses his conclusions a generation later, contending that China’s future is far less certain today, with possibilities ranging from Japanese-style decay to gradual world leadership, and depends on a rising generation of leaders far more risk-averse than its predecessors. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_overholt.pdf
The South China Sea: Oil, Maritime Claims, and U.S.–China Strategic Rivalry
Leszek Buszynski
The risk of conflict escalating in the South China Sea has increased over the past two years as the issue has gone beyond territorial claims and access to energy resources, having become a focal point for the U.S.–China rivalry. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_buszynski.pdf
Reversing Pakistan’s Descent: Empowering its Middle Class
Xenia Dormandy
For the first time in eight years, there is a real possibility Pakistan could become a failed state. To help it reverse course, the United States needs to fundamentally rethink its policies, priorities, and most importantly, its partners by turning to Pakistan’s middle class. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_dormandy.pdf
Defining U.S. Indian Ocean Strategy
Michael J. Green and Andrew Shearer
In the past few years, the Indian Ocean has emerged as a major center of geostrategic interest, but it is not enough to note that the region is becoming more important. What vital U.S. interests really are at stake? What strategy and resources are required to advance those interests? [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_green_shearer.pdf
Have President Obama’s Re-Election Prospects Brightened?
Charles E. Cook, Jr.
Some shifts early in 2012 appeared to improve President Obama’s chances of re-election—GDP growth and consumer confidence were up, unemployment and “wrong track” polling numbers were down—but it’s too early to jump to conclusions. The year has a long way to go. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_cook.pdf
James Stavridis and Evelyn N. Farkas
SACEUR and his senior advisor argue that to enhance both global development and security, relationships leveraging private sector expertise and capabilities are critical, but we need a strategy, framework, and process to design and implement them. [excerpt] http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_stavridis_farkas.pdf
How to Deter Terrorism
Matthew Kroenig and Barry Pavel
The coauthors of the first U.S. government-wide strategy for deterring terrorist networks present the first publicly available articulation of that strategy, arguing that deterrence remains a poorly understood and underutilized element of U.S. counterterrorism strategy. [excerpt] http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_kroenig_pavel.pdf
Bombs Away? Being Realistic about Deep Nuclear Reductions
James M. Acton
Skeptics and supporters of deep nuclear reductions tend to underestimate three demanding, complex, interacting practical realities. Key barriers lie outside Washington and will take time, but ultimately, further reductions are almost certain to be gradual and worthwhile. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_acton.pdf
To Keep the Peace with Iran, Threaten to Strike
Michael Singh
The former NSC senior director for Middle Eastern affairs argues that current U.S. strategy toward Iran is incomplete: supplementing sanctions and outreach with a credible military threat could bring the interests of the United States, China, Israel, and other allies into alignment while causing Tehran to reassess its own. [excerpt]
http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_singh.pdf
The Real Problem in U.S.–Israeli Relations
Dov Waxman
The real debate we should be having is not whether Obama is pro-Israel enough or whether Israel is a strategic burden to the United States. The real debate is how much do U.S. and Israeli interests really overlap today? Put simply, they are increasingly diverging. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_waxman.pdf
Egypt’s Troubled Transition: Elections without Democracy
Khaled Elgindy
The most formidable threat to Egyptian democracy comes from the ruling military council itself, which may end up leaving Egypt looking less like Turkey and more like Pakistan, where a military that refuses to truly relinquish power results in a weak and dysfunctional government. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_elgindy.pdf
A Strategy of “Congagement” toward Pakistan
Zalmay Khalilzad
The former U.S. ambassador explains the confusing sources of Pakistani conduct, concluding it is simultaneously an ally and adversary, and argues that alone engagement has failed and containment would, and recommends deftly mixing the two into a strategy of congagement. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_khalilzad.pdf
Reassessing China: Awaiting Xi Jinping
William H. Overholt
The author of The Rise of China reassesses his conclusions a generation later, contending that China’s future is far less certain today, with possibilities ranging from Japanese-style decay to gradual world leadership, and depends on a rising generation of leaders far more risk-averse than its predecessors. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_overholt.pdf
The South China Sea: Oil, Maritime Claims, and U.S.–China Strategic Rivalry
Leszek Buszynski
The risk of conflict escalating in the South China Sea has increased over the past two years as the issue has gone beyond territorial claims and access to energy resources, having become a focal point for the U.S.–China rivalry. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_buszynski.pdf
Reversing Pakistan’s Descent: Empowering its Middle Class
Xenia Dormandy
For the first time in eight years, there is a real possibility Pakistan could become a failed state. To help it reverse course, the United States needs to fundamentally rethink its policies, priorities, and most importantly, its partners by turning to Pakistan’s middle class. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_dormandy.pdf
Defining U.S. Indian Ocean Strategy
Michael J. Green and Andrew Shearer
In the past few years, the Indian Ocean has emerged as a major center of geostrategic interest, but it is not enough to note that the region is becoming more important. What vital U.S. interests really are at stake? What strategy and resources are required to advance those interests? [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_green_shearer.pdf
Have President Obama’s Re-Election Prospects Brightened?
Charles E. Cook, Jr.
Some shifts early in 2012 appeared to improve President Obama’s chances of re-election—GDP growth and consumer confidence were up, unemployment and “wrong track” polling numbers were down—but it’s too early to jump to conclusions. The year has a long way to go. [excerpt]http://www.twq.com/12spring/docs/12spring_cook.pdf
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